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Estonia vs Latvia, FIBA Eurobasket 2025, Today Match Prediction

Arena Riga, Latvia (LAT)

Estonia Battles Out Against Latvia

  • Latvia has won 85.7% of their games against Estonia.
  • Estonia averages 69.4 points per game against Latvia.
  • In the last five head-to-head games, Latvia won four games while Estonia won one.

Tournament: FIBA Eurobasket 2025 | Venue: Arena Riga, Latvia (LAT) | Tip Off: 20:30:00

Live Streaming: Courtside 1891

Latvia to Win!

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Estonia vs Latvia Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
Stake.com 7.80 1.07

Teams Preview

Estonia

Estonia opened their EuroBasket 2025 campaign with a heavy 98–64 loss to Serbia, struggling against superior shooting and depth. The only player who showed some readiness to compete was Henri Drell, who finished with 11 points.

On the other hand, Sander Raieste who gained experience over the years in both the EuroLeague and Spain’s Liga Endesa was expected to perform but that wasn’t the case. The other team members will need to perform as the tournament goes on if they want to make it to the round of 16.

Estonia leans on disciplined ball movement and veteran leadership from Kristian Kullamae and Henri Drell, despite being hampered by the absence of Maik-Kalev Kotsar, one of Estonia’s best players. Defensively, they remain vulnerable in pick-and-roll coverages and lack interior size, relying on Matthias Tass as their lone natural big.

Latvia

Latvia, the host nation fell 20 points to Turkey in their opener in a packed Xiaomi Arena. Latvia was outmatched for all 40 minutes. Turkey grabbed a double-digit lead in the first minutes and never looked back. Latvia’s only brief advantage lasted just 19 seconds in the opening quarter.

Latvia’s Rihards Lomazs stood out offensively, pouring in 16 points on 6-of-9 shooting, along with 2 rebounds and 3 assists. Porzingis and Davis Bertans fell well short. Porzingis ended with 10 points but shot just 3-for-12 from the field and committed six turnovers. Bertans didn’t fare any better. He finished with only six points, going 1-for-6 from the field, all from three-point range.

To make matters worse, Arturs Zagars, who was playing a solid game, left midway through the third quarter with a painful grimace and never returned to the floor. It remains uncertain whether he will be ready for the next matchup.

Latvia’s defense was unsettled and their execution breakdowns and rushed offense left gaps. Latvia simply couldn’t keep pace. Against Estonia, it will be important for the team to prioritize disciplined offense, aggressive rebounding and tighter defense in order to reverse momentum and secure a win.

Estonia vs Latvia Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Kristian Kullamae
SG Henri Drell
SF Siim Sander Vene
PF Janari Joesaar
C Matthias Tass
Position Player Name
PG Kristers Zoriks
SG Dairis Bertans
SF Rihards Lomazs
PF Davis Bertans
C Kristaps Porzingis

Both teams enter off losses, but Latvia backs a stronger squad and the advantage of the home crowd. Estonia may stay compact early and rely on their structured sets, but Latvia’s offensive depth and interior size underline them as clear favourites. The match is slated to be played at Riga, Arena Riga, Latvia and the scheduled start time is 8:30 PM IST, Local Time: 06:00 PM (GMT+3). 

Estonia vs Latvia Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Henri Drell 11.0 1.0 0.0 1.0/0.0
Rihards Lomazs 16.0 2.0 3.0 0.0/0.0

Latvia’s firepower, depth, and home advantage make them the strong favourite. Expect them to control the boards and pace, lean on Porziņgis inside, and leverage veteran scoring around him. Estonia’s discipline may keep it competitive early, but Latvia should pull away in the second half.

Latvia to Win!

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Author: Vishnu Reddy