Newcastle United vs Arsenal FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Newcastle United vs Arsenal FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Once again, the Premier League weekend signs off with a blockbuster as Newcastle welcome Arsenal to St. James’ Park. The Magpies come in under pressure, having picked up just one win in their last five. 

While the Gunners arrive in steadier form with three victories from a tougher run of fixtures. With both sides desperate to make a statement, Sunday promises a fiery and finely balanced encounter. 

Current Standings: Newcastle finds themselves in a tricky spot, sitting 13th with just 6 points, well outside the top 10. Arsenal, on the other hand, are flying high, comfortably holding 2nd place with 10 points. 

Head-to-Head Record: Arsenal have clearly had the upper hand in this rivalry, boasting 36 wins and just 13 losses from 60 encounters, underscoring their historical dominance over Newcastle.

TEAMS PREVIEW

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle’s Gameweek five outing was déjà vu, as Eddie Howe’s side recorded yet another goalless draw—the third in just five matches. Defensively, the Magpies look rock solid, but creativity up front is clearly lacking. With only three goals this season, only Aston Villa (one) have scored less. 

Isak’s departure is a big factor, yet newcomers Nick Woltemade and Yoane Wissa offer hope that Howe can soon find a spark to solve Newcastle’s attacking woes. Against Arsenal, however, Howe’s attacking options will face a stern test, with the Gunners notoriously difficult to break down.

Stats that matter 

1. Newcastle's xG of 4.5 is the sixth-lowest in the competition currently.
2. Newcastle’s tally of three goalless draws is the most number of goalless draws a side has managed after the first five games of the season since Burnley in 2014-15.
3. Eddie Howe's side has managed to win only once in their last seven Premier League matches. 

Team News 

Eddie Howe faces a selection puzzle with Fabian Schär and Yoane Wissa sidelined, while Bruno Guimarães and Joelinton are set to return to the starting XI after being rested against Bournemouth.

Newcastle United  Probable XI - Pope (GK); Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall (Defenders) ; Joelington, Tonali, Guimaraes (Midfielders); Murphy, Woltemade, Barnes (Forwards) 

Arsenal FC Preview

Arsenal carried their momentum into the week with a comfortable 2-0 win over Port Vale, highlighted by Eberechi Eze’s first goal for the club. Eze has been in fine form, having also delivered a brilliant assist in Arsenal’s 1-1 draw with Manchester City at the the Emirates Stadium, helping Mikel Arteta become the first manager to avoid defeat in five straight games against Pep Guardiola.

With that draw with City, Arsenal sit five points behind Liverpool, making Sunday’s clash a key test for Arteta and his side—they’ll be eager to close the gap early in the season.

Stats that matter 

1. Arsenal have lost only once in their last 16 Premier League away games ( W8 D7).
2. No player has applied more pressures in the opposition final third (202) or in the opposition penalty area than Arsenal’s Viktor Gyokeres.
3. The Gunners have failed to score in their last three visits to St. James’ Park across all competitions. 

Team News 

Noni Madueke will miss Arsenal’s upcoming games after picking up an injury against Manchester City. With Eze’s impact off the bench and his strong midweek display, Arteta may hand him a start on Sunday, while the rest of the lineup is likely to remain unchanged.

Arsenal Probable XI - David Raya (GK); Jurriën Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel, Riccardo Calafiori (Defenders); Merino, Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice (Midfielders); Eze/Martinelli, Viktor Gyökeres Saka (Forwards). 

NEWCASTLE UNITED vs ARSENAL FC
Winning Prediction

Arsenal have struggled to break down Newcastle at St James’ Park in recent years, with the Magpies keeping clean sheets in their three home victories. Overall, though, historical numbers favor the Gunners, who have shown more consistency across all competitions. 

Given the defensive strength on both sides, Sunday’s clash is likely to be a tight, low-scoring affair, as past meetings often ended 1-0. Still, with Arsenal’s firepower upfront and Newcastle continuing to struggle in attack, Arteta’s side have the edge and are expected to walk away with all three points.

Arsenal to Win (1-0)

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